Why Are There So Many Severe Storms This Year?

I have great interest in our environment. And, that also includes climate and weather. Both cannot be separated from one other as the condition of the weather depends on the condition of the climate which in return depends on us. Yes, I believe that the modern-day’s condition of the climate depends on what we’re doing in and with our environment.

My personal view on what climate is differs with those what you can google on the internet. To me, climate is a naming term used to identify after defining the state in which the meteorological environment is. You cannot forecast the weather if you do not know what behavior the state of this environment is showing. That behavior comes visible in what we know as the weather.

There are a lot of elements needed before you can conclude the state of the meteorological environment such as directions in which the oceans are streaming, the temperature of these waters, the temperatures above these waters, the condition of the air above these waters and so on. All that is needed to find out what the meteorological environment, for example, in the Atlantic between Africa and the Caribbean is.

This environment is the breeding place of all hurricanes going into the Caribbean. The map shows the situation of today, October 31, 2020 and looks calm despite that the colors reveal that the ocean is warm. You only need cold air above to let damping ocean water condensate into water drops. The more of these drops, the more the chance clouds will be produced.

From June 2020 to September 2020, there were nine hurricanes reported . Some of them even one after the other. I never have seen such a active hurricane season before. They tell me that the water temperature of the Atlantic between Africa and the Caribbean has been increased in an extraordinary manner, and that the air above was much colder comparing with previous seasons. Could La Nina have played a role here?

La Niña is a coupled ocean-atmosphere phenomenon that occurs in the northern region of the Pacific. Let me say east of Japan. It occurs when abnominal winds push warm water from Mexico’s western coast into the Northern Pacific. A mix of Pacific jetstream and Polar jetstream then stream eastwards into North America and has a width so that La Niña is even able to reache the outer region of the Caribbean.

The occurrence of so many hurricanes in just one year gives me the idea that La Niña has changed but in a way that fuels more condensation of Atlantic ocean water, strengthening low pressure in the air above. Warm winds from Africa will do the rest. And, so I see the increase of hurricanes.

TYPHOONS

And, how about three typhoons in one single week? That is currently (October 31, 2020) happening in the Philippines with typhoon Goni as the most strongest and is heading towards Luzon island were the capital Manila is located.

Typhoon Goni — known locally as Rolly — is a category 5 storm with 215 kilometers per hour sustained winds and gusts of up to 265 kph. It will make landfall on November 1, 2020 as the strongest typhoon to hit the Philippines since Haiyan killed more than 6,300 people in November 2013.

On October 20, 2020 tropical storm Saudel lashed over the Philippines causing flooding and thousands of residents to evacuate. A waist-deep flood had made the main road in Quezon province impassable for vehicles. Nearly 6,000 people were evacuated in the provinces south of Manila.

On October 23, 2020 typhoon Molave was formed in the same waters east of the Philippines were all other tropical storms find their birth. Molave made landfall on October 26, 2020 and Luzon island was struck again amid of the COVID19 pandemic. More than 25,000 villagers have been evacuated from their homes and at least 13 have been reported missing since the storm, referred to locally as Typhoon Quinta, made landfall on that southern island.

It looks to me that La Niña has also widened to the mid-northern regions of the Pacific waters causing increase of typhoons.

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